Twitter and the Dunbar Number

The company, (Twitter) meanwhile, is trying to avoid the bureaucracy that plagues larger businesses. The topic is important to Mr. Williams, who says he started companies because he didn’t believe in aligning himself with institutions.

Twitter’s executives talk about the “Dunbar number” — the maximum number of people, generally believed to be 150, with whom one person can have strong relationships. This effort, mind you, comes from a company with a business model that fosters a multitude of ever-growing — and largely glancing — interactions among Twitter’s users.

“I’ve never seen a company so focused on avoiding the Dunbar number,” says Adam Bain, who recently joined Twitter from the News Corporation as head of global revenue. “You can tell Ev planned it out.”

Each time employees log on to their computers, for instance, they see a photo of a colleague, with clues and a list of the person’s hobbies, and must identify the person. And notes from every meeting are posted for all employees to read.

Speaking to a group of new hires at an orientation session last spring, Mr. Williams said Twitter had three goals: to change the world, to build a business and to have fun.

“You can succeed by only building a business, and many companies do,” he said. “We won’t consider it success unless it’s all three.”

When will "Magic Numbers" become central to HR? If you wish to look into Dunbar's work here is a link that will take you there directly

I find it bizarre now that much of the science of human groupings is known, that few business schools or HR department pay any attention. They still work in the realm of Alchemy.

So for all of you who wish that your schools would not have bullying, that your organization would be more functional, that your church would be better, that your twitter experience itself would be more satisfying, that as a entrepreneur you could see see the perils in store as you grow - here is Rob's Coles Notes.

Lego_brick

As a reminder - Here are the Lego Blocks of the science of human groups. From these precise grouping you build the best performing organizations.

As with Lego, there is nothing random about how best to organize human beings. All well functioning organizations use these groups and they avoid the "Dip" - you will see the "Dip" below.

8 The Circle of Intimacy (The section): where you intuitively communicate as a great sports team will - 15 the dangerous nowhere group that you must either go back to 8 or rush to 34 from - 34 the ideal compound group (The platoon) - 89 the ideal large team - 144 The maximum unit where all can know each other to use trust rather than rules.

Magic_number
source Christopher Allen

So where do these numbers come from - for 144 or 150, the Dunbar Number is not the only number. The Numbers are of course found in the Fibonacci sequence

0,\;1,\;1,\;2,\;3,\;5,\;8,\;13,\;21,\;34,\;55,\;89,\;144,\; \ldots\;

and are not made up but represent how nature stacks humans best. So here is the curve with the key numbers:

Fibonacci
Here is how this was first put into practice - not because the Romans had a good theory but because they found that these numbers worked best in practice. The Roman Legion of more than 5,000 men was made up of units of 8 and 80. It had a head office of 3!!!!!

Legionorg
Here is the core of Dunbar's work - It is rooted in our evolution, our brain and the key insight that - humans use Culture to evolve more than biology. We live in a modern age but are wired as Neolithic People. Our wiring has not caught up with our culture.

It is generally accepted that human cultural evolution has proceeded at a very much faster pace than our anatomical evolution during the past few millenia. Given that our brain size has its origins in the later stages of human evolution some 250,000 years ago (Martin 1983, Aiello & Dean 1990), we may assume that our current brain size reflects the kinds of groups then prevalent and not those now found among technologically advanced cultures. The closest we can get to this is to examine those modern humans whose way of life is thought to be most similar to that of our late Pleistocene ancestors. These are generally presumed to be the hunter-gatherers (Service 1962, Sahlins 1972)............

In addition, it turns out that most organised (i.e. professional) armies have a basic unit of about 150 men (Table 3). This was as true of the Roman Army (both before and after the reforms of 104BC) as of modern armies since the sixteenth century. In the Roman Army of the classical period (350-100 BC), the basic unit was the maniple (or "double-century") which normally consisted of 120-130 men; following the reforms instituted by Marius in 104BC, the army was re-organised into legions, each of which contained a number of semi-independent centuries of 100 men each (Haverfield 1955, Montross 1975). The smallest independent unit in modern armies (the company) invariably contains 100-200 men (normallly three or four rifle platoons of 30-40 men each, plus a headquarters unit, sometimes with an additional heavy weapons unit) (Table 3). Although its origins date back to the German mercenary Landsknechts groups of the sixteenth century, the modern company really derives from the military reforms of the Swedish king Gustavus Adolphus in the 1620s. Despite subsequent increases in size to accomodate new developments in weaponry and tactics, the company in all modern armies has remained within the 95% confident limits of the predicted size for human groups. The mean size of 179.6 for the twentieth century armies listed in Table 3 does not differ significantly from the 147.8 predicted by equation (1) (z=0.913, P=0.361 2-tailed).

So what is your organization based on? What is being taught at your business school? What is your HR function telling you?

 

Nature by Numbers - No numeric structure = not Nature

Nature is not random - what appears at first glance to be messy has deep order. This wonderful video reveals much of this. HT Will Pate.

But we tend to organize with no sense of order. That is why so many of our organizations are so dysfunctional.

Take school - what is the theory behind class size? There is none except to have smaller. But no one in Education knows anything about the natural organization of human groups. You will see these numbers in the first minutes of the video.

Why is there bullying in schools? It is not because kids are bad - it is that schools violate the social norms of numbers. Ask a teacher or a Dept of Ed person what are the key social numbers that will ensure that a school will be bully free and they will look at you blankly - they don't know and they dont know that such numbers exist - but they do and have been used fro ever in the military.

All those Social Media "Experts" pushing to have thousands of "friends" It's pathetic. Based on what? They simply think that more = better. What losers! There has to be a numeric structure or its not natural. What is it? It's the same as for all social structures for humans - watch the video carefully.

All those that want to have better functioning organizations of all types - what is your structural plan? Oh yes spans of control! Based on what? Bullshit.

What has happened is that we organize as the Ptolemaic universe was organized - we have a wrong theory (Then that the Earth was the centre of the universe) and we force the world into this fallacy.

The Copernican Revolution of our time (That the Sun is in the Centre of the local system) is that humans are optimally organized as nature intended. That we are designed to live in a Fibonacci sequence where:

8 is the core unit of intimacy

34 is the optimal team to get complex work done

144 is the upper limit of any group that can function in a trust bond

These are the building blocks of trust and high functioning for all humans no matter what culture. They are our nature - as immutable as the laws of light and gravity. We ignore them at our peril.

Fibonacci applied to stock market - Phi is everywhere

My regular readers know that I think that the Fibonacci sequence maybe the order that can offer an insight to all systems. In particular to ideal human groupings - organizations - the use of social media etc.

This video shows us a glimpse of the work going on to use this sequence to understand the apparently chaotic nature of markets - My bet is that this work has only juts begun and that in time, Fibonacci Numbers will help us "see" the shape of most natural systems.